Déchiffrer 2027

FREN

Security and justice, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Juvenile justice: Age of criminal majority lowered to 16

Direction of change: increase, compared with current law.

The lever. Trial of juvenile offenders: age of criminal responsibility, mitigation on grounds of minority (excuse de minorité), educational measures. Direction rule: ↑ harsher criminal response.

« Abroger l’ordonnance de 1945 concernant la justice des mineurs. Baisser la majorité pénale à 16 ans. »1

Translation by the editorsRepeal the 1945 ordinance on juvenile justice. Lower the age of criminal majority to 16.

Encoding

No cost-schedule parameter for this position: see the costing for the reason.

Costing

Announced by the candidate

not announced

The programme does not cost this measure.

Published costings

none

No external costing of this position recorded to date.

Our calculation

not costed

Age of criminal majority at 16 and repeal of the 1945 ordinance: legal rules; their cost would come through additional detention places, which the text does not give.

Current law, sources and limits of the cost schedule

Current law. Code de la justice pénale des mineurs (juvenile criminal justice code, 2021). Closed educational centres: cost of €578 per place per day in 2026 (public sector).

Horizon. full year 2032, €bn/year

Limits. Calculation: 100 × €578 × 365 days = €21m. Low value based on a UEHC (residential educational unit), high value with an occupancy rate and investment. Most of the lever (age of criminal majority, immediate trial, mitigation of responsibility) is not budgetary: cannot be costed apart from placement facilities.

  • AN, rapport spécial PLF 2026, Justice, 2025-10: « En 2026, le coût d'une place par jour et par type de structure du secteur public serait le suivant : 578 euros en centre éducatif fermé (CEF), 510 euros en centre éducatif renforcé (CER) et 467 euros dans une unité éducative d'hébergement collectif (UEHC). »

How to read these amounts. These are static costs and revenues, with no feedback effect, over a full year: nothing on growth, employment or the revenue that economic activity would gain or lose. A higher net cost does not on its own make a worse policy, nor net savings a better one: each programme rests on an economic model (demand-led stimulus, lower compulsory levies, consolidation of the public accounts…) that the cost schedule does not settle. GDP itself measures a volume of activity, not well-being or the usefulness of what is produced. Economic models and feedback effects.

  1. Debout la France, Notre projet : Justice (livret 2026-06-10). Read the programme page.

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