Early childhood and old age, Marine Tondelier
Old age and long-term care: Public long-term care service, public care homes (Ehpad) with regulated pricing
Direction of change: creation of a scheme, compared with current law.
The lever. Care for dependent older people: care homes (EHPAD), home help, staff, and funding (autonomy branch of social security, out-of-pocket costs). Direction rule: ↑ more public resources for old age.
« Construire un service public de la dépendance à destination des personnes en perte d’autonomie. Développer des établissements publics pour l’accueil de personnes âgées (type EHPAD) soit en gestion publique ou via des entreprises de l’économie sociale et solidaire. Imposer une tarification encadrée et progressive. »1Translation by the editorsBuild a public long-term care service for people losing their autonomy. Develop public establishments for the accommodation of older people (EHPAD type), either under public management or via social and solidarity economy enterprises. Impose regulated and progressive pricing.
Encoding
No cost-schedule parameter for this position: see the costing for the reason.
Costing
Announced by the candidate
not announced
The programme does not cost this measure.
Published costings
none
No external costing of this position recorded to date.
Our calculation
not costed
Public service for long-term care and public care homes (Ehpad) with no volume or amount: nothing to cost.
Current law, sources and limits of the cost schedule
Current law. Autonomy branch of social security, personalised autonomy allowance (APA), three-part pricing of care homes (EHPAD) (care, dependency, accommodation). Tax credit for employing a home worker: €6,856m forecast for 2025 (CGI (General Tax Code), Art. 199 sexdecies), partly for old age.
Horizon. €bn per year in 2018 GDP-point equivalent, compared with 2018; not restated for the 2032 horizon
Limits. Parameter “Ehpad places” (18 October 2026): annual public operating cost of a place, calculation by the editors: €13,359m of recurrent care funding from the autonomy branch to nursing homes (Ehpad) in 2024 (PLFSS 2026, annex 6) ÷ 609,970 places installed at the end of 2023 (Drees), i.e. about €21,900 (€0.22bn for 10,000 places, lower bound), plus the APA (personalised autonomy allowance) in establishments, €4,940 per beneficiary in 2023 (Drees; €0.05bn for 10,000 places), hence €0.27bn. Relating 2024 funding to 2023 places slightly overstates the cost per place; conversely, residents' community healthcare, non-recurrent funding and the increase in allocations since 2024 are not counted. Not counted: accommodation (paid by residents or by departmental social assistance), housing benefits and investment (construction, aides à la pierre), which is one-off. Residents of new places could have been helped at home (APA at home): this substitution is not deducted (static costing). The Libault report dates from 2019: part of it has been implemented since (Ségur, creation of the autonomy branch in 2021), so the extra cost compared with current policies is below €9.2bn. The figure includes demographics, to be removed if the reference scenario already incorporates them. The 25% increase in the staffing ratio in care homes (EHPAD) (13 FTE per 100 residents) is not isolated in euros in the passages read. No official costing later than 2023 has been read. Annual public cost of an additional place in a care home (Ehpad) (health insurance care package, dependency) not found in a recent official source: commitments expressed in numbers of places remain not costed.
- PLFSS 2026, annexe 6 « Situation financière des établissements de santé et des établissements médico-sociaux », tableau « Evolution des ressources issues de la branche autonomie par type d'établissements et services » (personnes âgées), pages 37-38, 2025-10-13: « Recettes reconductibles 2021 2022 2023 2024 Evolution 11 772 535 980 € 11 969 508 463 € 13 215 782 945 € 13 359 019 679 € 2021-2024 EHPAD (dont PUV - petites unités de vie) […] 13% »
- Drees, Panorama « L'aide sociale aux personnes âgées ou handicapées », édition 2025, fiche 09 « Les établissements d'hébergement pour personnes âgées », tableau 1, 2025-09: « Lecture > En 2023, 609 970 places installées dont 586 990 en hébergement permanent sont proposées par les 7 400 Ehpad. »
- Drees, Panorama « L'aide sociale aux personnes âgées ou handicapées », édition 2025, fiche 06 « L'allocation personnalisée d'autonomie (APA) », 2025-09: « Pour l’ensemble de l’année 2023, les dépenses brutes d’APA s’élèvent à 7,1 milliards d’euros (+5,9 % en un an en euros courants), dont 4,3 milliards pour l’aide à domicile et 2,7 milliards pour l’accueil en établissement. […] Cette dépense est légèrement plus élevée à domicile (5 330 euros) qu’en établissement (4 940 euros) »
- Rapport Libault, Grand âge, le temps d'agir, 2019-03: « le besoin de financement public supplémentaire par rapport à 2018 atteindrait 6,2 Mds € en 2024 (0,3 point de PIB) et 9,2 Mds € d'ici 2030 (0,4 point de PIB) »
- Rapport Libault, synthèse, 2019-03: « une augmentation de 25 % du taux d'encadrement en Ehpad d'ici 2024 […] un effort financier de 550 millions d'euros d'ici 2024 en faveur des services d'aide et d'accompagnement à domicile […] Un plan de rénovation des établissements de 3 milliards d'euros sur dix ans »
- PLF 2025, Évaluation des voies et moyens, tome II, 2024-10: « 110246 – Crédit d'impôt au titre de l'emploi d'un salarié à domicile : 6 110 / 6 724 / 6 856 ; 4 675 706 ménages »
How to read these amounts. These are static costs and revenues, with no feedback effect, over a full year: nothing on growth, employment or the revenue that economic activity would gain or lose. A higher net cost does not on its own make a worse policy, nor net savings a better one: each programme rests on an economic model (demand-led stimulus, lower compulsory levies, consolidation of the public accounts…) that the cost schedule does not settle. GDP itself measures a volume of activity, not well-being or the usefulness of what is produced. Economic models and feedback effects.
- Pour une prospérité écologique, programme des Écologistes, p. 128. Open the document at this page.
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