Déchiffrer 2027

FREN

Debt and public spending, Marine Tondelier

Fiscal rules: Maastricht pact and indicators lifted, green investment outside the deficit

Direction of change: decrease, compared with current law.

The lever. Rules governing the deficit and debt: European rules, golden rule written into the Constitution, programming act. Direction rule: ↑ tighter rules.

« Supprimer les contraintes austéritaires du Pacte de stabilité et de croissance pour concilier les soutenabilités économiques et climatiques. Exclure immédiatement les investissements liés à la transition écologique (énergies renouvelables, rénovation énergétique, transports collectifs et mobilités actives…) du calcul du déficit autorisé. Supprimer les « clauses de sauvegarde » et les indicateurs rigides et arbitraires du Traité de Maastricht. »1

Translation by the editorsRemove the austerity constraints of the Stability and Growth Pact to reconcile economic and climate sustainability. Immediately exclude investments linked to the ecological transition (renewable energy, energy renovation, public transport and active mobility…) from the calculation of the authorised deficit. Abolish the “safeguard clauses” and the rigid and arbitrary indicators of the Maastricht Treaty.

Encoding

No cost-schedule parameter for this position: see the costing for the reason.

Costing

Announced by the candidate

not announced

The programme does not cost this measure.

Published costings

none

No external costing of this position recorded to date.

Our calculation

lever that cannot be costed

Lever with no coefficient in the cost schedule: the position is compared, not costed.

Current law, sources and limits of the cost schedule

Current law. Stability Pact revised in April 2024 (EU Regulations 2024/1263 and 2024/1264): reference values of 3% for the deficit and 60% for debt; operational criterion = net primary expenditure path of the PSMT 2025-2029. For France, under the excessive deficit procedure since July 2024: reduction of the structural deficit by at least 0.5 points of GDP per year as long as the deficit exceeds 3%. Possible sanction of up to 0.05% of GDP every six months (about €1.5bn). In domestic law: LOLF, LPFP 2023-2027, HCFP.

Horizon. Not applicable.

Limits. Institutional lever: exit from or renegotiation of the rules, golden rule, exclusion of investment or defence (national escape clause). No static cost; encoded as direction of change. The escape clause for defence allows a limited deviation.

  • Sénat, L'essentiel sur le RAA 2026, 2026-04: « Elle fait de l'évolution des dépenses primaires nettes ... le principal critère opérationnel ... une sanction financière pouvant aller jusqu'à 0,05 % de son PIB de l'année précédente, soit environ 1,5 milliard d'euros, tous les six mois »
  • Fipeco, Les nouvelles règles budgétaires européennes, 2026-04-14: « cette trajectoire doit permettre de réduire le déficit structurel de 0,5 point de PIB par an tant que le déficit public est supérieur à 3,0 % du PIB »

How to read these amounts. These are static costs and revenues, with no feedback effect, over a full year: nothing on growth, employment or the revenue that economic activity would gain or lose. A higher net cost does not on its own make a worse policy, nor net savings a better one: each programme rests on an economic model (demand-led stimulus, lower compulsory levies, consolidation of the public accounts…) that the cost schedule does not settle. GDP itself measures a volume of activity, not well-being or the usefulness of what is produced. Economic models and feedback effects.

  1. Pour une prospérité écologique, programme des Écologistes, p. 64. Open the document at this page.

Contest this encoding (prefilled email; procedure and deadlines)