Security and justice, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
Police and gendarmerie numbers: 10,000 additional police officers and gendarmes, net, in 5 years
Direction of change: increase, compared with current law.
The lever. Number of police officers and gendarmes, announced recruitment, municipal police, presence on the ground. Direction rule: ↑ higher staff numbers.
« 10 000 policiers et gendarmes supplémentaires nets en 5 ans. »1Translation by the editors10,000 additional police officers and gendarmes, net, in 5 years.
Encoding
| Parameter | Current law | Programme | Effective date or horizon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Additional police officers and gendarmes | 0 FTE | 10,000 FTE (assumption by the editors, see the costing) | full year 2032, €bn/year |
Costing
Announced by the candidate
not announced
The programme does not cost this measure.
Published costings
none
No external costing of this position recorded to date.
Our calculation
−€0.5bn
per year for the public accounts, new spending, range −€0.8bn to −€0.4bn.
The calculation
- Additional police officers and gendarmes: (10,000 − 0) ÷ 1,000 = 10 times “1,000 additional police officers or gendarmes (FTEs)”, each a cost of €0.05bn (0.04 to 0.08).
Assumption by the editors.
Coefficient calculated by the editors from AN, rapport spécial PLF 2026, Sécurités: the position is marked as an assumption by the editors.
Current law, sources and limits of the cost schedule
Current law. LOPMI 2023-2027. Police nationale: 153,286 FTEs worked (ETPT); gendarmerie: 103,079 ETPT (PLF 2026). 2026 staffing plan: +1,000 FTEs in the police and +400 in the gendarmerie. Title 2 excluding the pensions special account (CAS): €7.95bn for the police, €5.11bn for the gendarmerie.
Horizon. full year 2032, €bn/year
Limits. Average cost excluding CAS (special allocation account for pensions): €51.9k per ETPT (full-time equivalent worked) for the police (€7,948.7m / 153,286 ETPT), €49.6k for the gendarmerie, all categories combined, including administrative staff; brought down to activity pay by the ratio of about 1.15 from the 2024 PAP (measured on teachers, applied for lack of a published ratio for the police and gendarmerie; editors' calculation): €45.1k (central value) and €43.1k (lower bound). “Net” convention (R9), the same as for the public sector pay index point and public sector headcount: at the centre, cost excluding all employer contributions paid to other general government bodies (CAS Pensions, employer social contributions); at the upper bound, full employer cost. The published “excluding CAS” cost still includes employer contributions other than the CAS: it is brought down to activity pay alone by the “average loaded cost excluding CAS / activity pay” ratio from the 2024 PAP (Enseignement scolaire, entry-exit costs: 47,634 / 41,610 = 1.145 in primary, 51,198 / 44,265 = 1.157 in secondary, about 1.15 on average; editors' calculation). The former central value (0.06) added 15% for equipment and running costs without a source: removed on 13 October 2026. High value: with the contribution to the CAS Pensions. 2022 benchmarks not counted, with a different scope: iFRAP costed 12,000 police officers at €0.57bn (€47.5k per officer, scope not published); the Institut Montaigne costed a community police force made up three-quarters of contract security assistants at €46k per officer, pensions included. Initial training (one year) delays the effect on the ground.
- AN, rapport spécial PLF 2026, Sécurités, 2025-10: « Programme 176 Police nationale 147 076 153 286 ; Programme 152 Gendarmerie nationale 99 790 103 079 ; 7 948,7 millions d'euros de crédits de titre 2 hors contribution d'équilibre au CAS Pensions ; 5 111,4 millions d'euros de crédits de titre 2 hors CAS Pensions »
How to read these amounts. These are static costs and revenues, with no feedback effect, over a full year: nothing on growth, employment or the revenue that economic activity would gain or lose. A higher net cost does not on its own make a worse policy, nor net savings a better one: each programme rests on an economic model (demand-led stimulus, lower compulsory levies, consolidation of the public accounts…) that the cost schedule does not settle. GDP itself measures a volume of activity, not well-being or the usefulness of what is produced. Economic models and feedback effects.
This lever in the method · Costing for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
- Debout la France, Notre projet : Sécurité (livret 2025-10-31). Read the programme page.
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