Déchiffrer 2027

FREN

Climate, Gabriel Attal

Energy renovations per year: « Rénovation thermique massive » [“massive thermal renovation”], no annual number

Direction of change: increase, compared with current law.

The lever. Number of homes renovated each year to reduce their energy consumption, according to the programme's target. Direction rule: ↑ more subsidised renovations.

« Je veux une France qui continue à montrer la voie : une rénovation thermique massive pour que chaque foyer soit protégé des canicules comme du froid, l’électrique développé massivement et accessible à tous, une industrie décarbonée qui crée les emplois de demain sur notre territoire. »1

Translation by the editorsI want a France that continues to lead the way: a massive thermal renovation so that every household is protected from heatwaves as well as from the cold, electric power developed massively and accessible to all, a decarbonised industry that creates the jobs of tomorrow on our territory.

Encoding

No cost-schedule parameter for this position: see the costing for the reason.

Costing

Announced by the candidate

not announced

The programme does not cost this measure.

Published costings

none

No external costing of this position recorded to date.

Our calculation

not costed

« Massive » [“massive”] renovation with no number or amount: nothing to cost.

Current law, sources and limits of the cost schedule

Current law. The main instrument is MaPrimeRénov' (Anah). It comprises an assisted pathway for major renovations, per-measure aid and aid for co-owned buildings. It is supplemented by energy savings certificates (CEE). In 2024: 91,374 major renovations (€2,386m in aid) and 340,801 dwellings assisted in total (€3.29bn). The scheme was suspended from June to September 2025, then reopened on 23 February 2026 after the LFI 2026. The final amount of 2026 appropriations differs between sources (€3.5bn or €4.3bn in Anah commitments) and has not been checked in the act.

Horizon. Direct public aid in a full year. Anah 2024 scale in current euros. Includes neither the CEE (energy saving certificates), funded by energy suppliers, nor the cost of support services.

Limits. Central value: average aid across all major renovations (€2,386m / 91,374 ≈ €26,100). Lower bound: average aid in jointly owned buildings (€11,818). Upper bound: individual supported pathway (€36,271). In 2024, 59% of households aided for a major renovation were very low-income: a higher target would reach better-off households, with lower unit aid but an uncertain take-up rate. Fraud justified the 2025 suspension. A target announced in “renovated” homes is converted into major renovations before applying this cost schedule. Only the 2024 financial year is published by Anah in the sources read (key figures); 2025 volumes are known only from the press: the parameter's domain is limited to 2024.

How to read these amounts. These are static costs and revenues, with no feedback effect, over a full year: nothing on growth, employment or the revenue that economic activity would gain or lose. A higher net cost does not on its own make a worse policy, nor net savings a better one: each programme rests on an economic model (demand-led stimulus, lower compulsory levies, consolidation of the public accounts…) that the cost schedule does not settle. GDP itself measures a volume of activity, not well-being or the usefulness of what is produced. Economic models and feedback effects.

This lever in the method · Costing for Gabriel Attal

  1. attalpresident.fr, « Dette écologique » (page non datée). Read the programme page.

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