Déchiffrer 2027

FREN

Climate, Éric Zemmour

Energy renovations per year: Abolish the Agence nationale de l'habitat (Knafo plan, €6bn)

Direction of change: abolition of a scheme, compared with current law.

The lever. Number of homes renovated each year to reduce their energy consumption, according to the programme's target. Direction rule: ↑ more subsidised renovations.

« Suppression de l’Agence nationale de l’habitat (Anah). »1

Translation by the editorsAbolition of the Agence nationale de l'habitat (Anah).

Words of Sarah Knafo, MEP, Reconquête, budget2027.fr, « 140 milliards d’économies par an : le plan de Sarah Knafo » (page lue le 13 octobre 2026), 13 October 2026. Words of an associate of the candidate: they do not formally commit the candidate.

Link to the candidacy: Éric Zemmour adopts this plan as his own: « Nous, avec Sarah Knafo, nous voulons faire 140 milliards d'euros de baisses » [“We, with Sarah Knafo, want to make 140 billion euros of cuts”] (BFMTV, 17 September 2026).

No programme released. Positions taken from public statements, words of associates or documents of the candidate’s party, each dated and sourced; last recorded on 18 October 2026.

Encoding

ParameterCurrent lawProposedEffective date or horizon
Major renovations assisted per year91,374 homes0 homes* (outside the range measured by the source: linear extrapolation) (assumption by the editors, see the costing)Direct public aid in a full year

Costing

Announced by the candidate

+€6bn

per year, gain for the public accounts. €6bn of savings for the abolition of the Anah (Sarah Knafo's plan, measure 8).

Published costings

none

No external costing of this position recorded to date.

Our calculation

+€2.4bn* (outside the range measured by the source: linear extrapolation)

per year for the public accounts, saving, range +€1.1bn to +€3.3bn.

* Outside the range measured by the source: linear extrapolation (measured range: 91,374 homes only).

The calculation

  • Major renovations assisted per year: (0 − 91,374) ÷ 100,000 = -0.91 times “+100,000 major renovations assisted per year”, each a cost of €2.6bn (1.2 to 3.6). Proposed value outside the range measured by the source: linear extrapolation (measured range: 91,374 homes only). A single year measured by Anah (2024: 91,374 major renovations, average aid per dwelling); any other value is a linear extrapolation, flagged as such.

Assumption by the editors. Partial costing. Abolition of the Anah read as the end of the aid it pays (MaPrimeRénov'): only major renovations are costed, not single-measure aid or aid to co-owned buildings.

Coefficient calculated by the editors from Chiffres clés de l'Anah 2024 (DREAL Corse): the position is marked as an assumption by the editors.

Figure announced by the candidate: no gap calculated: the announcement covers a different scope or a different year.

Current law, sources and limits of the cost schedule

Current law. The main instrument is MaPrimeRénov' (Anah). It comprises an assisted pathway for major renovations, per-measure aid and aid for co-owned buildings. It is supplemented by energy savings certificates (CEE). In 2024: 91,374 major renovations (€2,386m in aid) and 340,801 dwellings assisted in total (€3.29bn). The scheme was suspended from June to September 2025, then reopened on 23 February 2026 after the LFI 2026. The final amount of 2026 appropriations differs between sources (€3.5bn or €4.3bn in Anah commitments) and has not been checked in the act.

Horizon. Direct public aid in a full year. Anah 2024 scale in current euros. Includes neither the CEE (energy saving certificates), funded by energy suppliers, nor the cost of support services.

Limits. Central value: average aid across all major renovations (€2,386m / 91,374 ≈ €26,100). Lower bound: average aid in jointly owned buildings (€11,818). Upper bound: individual supported pathway (€36,271). In 2024, 59% of households aided for a major renovation were very low-income: a higher target would reach better-off households, with lower unit aid but an uncertain take-up rate. Fraud justified the 2025 suspension. A target announced in “renovated” homes is converted into major renovations before applying this cost schedule. Only the 2024 financial year is published by Anah in the sources read (key figures); 2025 volumes are known only from the press: the parameter's domain is limited to 2024.

How to read these amounts. These are static costs and revenues, with no feedback effect, over a full year: nothing on growth, employment or the revenue that economic activity would gain or lose. A higher net cost does not on its own make a worse policy, nor net savings a better one: each programme rests on an economic model (demand-led stimulus, lower compulsory levies, consolidation of the public accounts…) that the cost schedule does not settle. GDP itself measures a volume of activity, not well-being or the usefulness of what is produced. Economic models and feedback effects.

  1. budget2027.fr, « 140 milliards d’économies par an : le plan de Sarah Knafo » (page lue le 13 octobre 2026), 13 October 2026. Words of Sarah Knafo, MEP, Reconquête. Words of an associate of the candidate: they do not formally commit the candidate. Read the source (budget2027.fr, « 140 milliards d’économies par an : le plan de Sarah Knafo » (page lue le 13 octobre 2026)).

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