Déchiffrer 2027

FREN

Debt and public spending, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Level of public spending: €30bn savings in 5 years (about 2%), agencies and administrative layers

Direction of change: decrease, compared with current law.

The lever. Targeted change in total public spending (State, social security, local authorities), in volume or as a share of gross domestic product. Direction rule: ↑ higher public spending.

« Supprimer le millefeuille administratif et les agences d’État inutiles. Sur les 1 700 milliards d’euros formant la dépense publique, il est possible d’économiser 30 milliards en 5 ans, soit environ 2 %. »1

Translation by the editorsAbolish the administrative layers and useless State agencies. Of the €1,700 billion making up public spending, it is possible to save €30 billion in 5 years, or about 2%.

Encoding

No cost-schedule parameter for this position: see the costing for the reason.

Costing

Announced by the candidate

amount not broken down

Amount announced with no readable annual amount for this position alone: « il est possible d’économiser 30 milliards en 5 ans » [“it is possible to save 30 billion in 5 years”]

Published costings

none

No external costing of this position recorded to date.

Our calculation

lever that cannot be costed

Target of €30bn savings in five years: it is compared with the sum of the costed measures, not added to it.

Current law, sources and limits of the cost schedule

Current law. Public spending 2025: €1,714bn, i.e. 57.2% of GDP (57.0% in 2024); euro area 49.8%, Germany 50.5%. European norm: net primary expenditure capped at +1.2% in 2026, 2027 and 2028 and +1.1% in 2029 (Council recommendation of 21 January 2025).

Horizon. Ratio in 2032; gap with the PSMT path.

Limits. Targeted level of spending, not a measure: consistency check against the sum of costed measures. Outcome lever, not a measure lever: it serves as a consistency check against the sum of measures. Fipeco: « l'écart de 6,7 points avec l'Allemagne = 200 Md€ » [“the gap of 6.7 points with Germany = €200bn”].

How to read these amounts. These are static costs and revenues, with no feedback effect, over a full year: nothing on growth, employment or the revenue that economic activity would gain or lose. A higher net cost does not on its own make a worse policy, nor net savings a better one: each programme rests on an economic model (demand-led stimulus, lower compulsory levies, consolidation of the public accounts…) that the cost schedule does not settle. GDP itself measures a volume of activity, not well-being or the usefulness of what is produced. Economic models and feedback effects.

  1. Debout la France, Notre projet : Économie. Read the programme page.

Contest this encoding (prefilled email; procedure and deadlines)