Security and justice, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
Resources for the justice system: Emergency plan for judges and clerks; aims for a €15bn budget (10.1 today)
Direction of change: increase, compared with current law.
The lever. Justice budget, number of judges and court clerks, time taken to reach judgment. Direction rule: ↑ more resources.
« Plan d’urgence : augmenter le nombre de magistrats et de greffiers et doter notre système judiciaire des moyens nécessaires à ses missions pour rattraper notre retard. […] Pour atteindre le même niveau la France devra faire passer le budget de la justice de 10,1 milliards à 15 milliards. »1Translation by the editorsEmergency plan: increase the number of judges and court clerks and give our judicial system the resources its missions require in order to catch up. […] To reach the same level France will have to raise the justice budget from 10.1 billion to 15 billion.
Encoding
| Parameter | Current law | Programme | Effective date or horizon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Justice mission appropriations excluding the pensions special account (CAS Pensions) | 10.63 €bn | 15 €bn (assumption by the editors, see the costing) | full year 2032, €bn/year |
Costing
Announced by the candidate
amount not broken down
Amount announced with no readable annual amount for this position alone: « faire passer le budget de la justice de 10,1 milliards à 15 milliards » [“raise the justice budget from 10.1 billion to 15 billion”] (presented as the level needed to match Germany)
Published costings
none
No external costing of this position recorded to date.
Our calculation
−€4.4bn
per year for the public accounts, new spending. Candidate’s amount, taken as is.
The calculation
- Justice mission appropriations excluding the pensions special account (CAS Pensions): (15 − 10.63) ÷ 1 = 4.37 times “€1bn of additional appropriations for the Justice mission (excluding the contribution to the CAS Pensions)”, each a cost of €1bn (1 to 1).
Assumption by the editors. Reading adopted: the « budget de la justice » [“justice budget”] is the Justice mission excluding the CAS Pensions (pensions special allocation account) (€10.63bn in the 2026 PLF; the text starts from €10.1bn). Target level with no deadline, costed at full build-up.
Current law, sources and limits of the cost schedule
Current law. LOPJ 2023-2027: +10,000 FTEs by 2027, including 1,500 judges and 1,800 court clerks. Justice mission: €13.05bn in payment appropriations, €10.63bn excluding the pensions special account (CAS Pensions) (PLF 2026). 9,007 judges in courts in 2025.
Horizon. full year 2032, €bn/year
Limits. Average cost excluding CAS (special allocation account for pensions) for programme 166: €2.3bn / 39,482 ≈ €58k per ETPT (full-time equivalent worked); brought down to activity pay by the ratio of about 1.15 from the 2024 PAP (measured on teachers, applied for lack of a published ratio for the judicial services; editors' calculation): about €50k, low and central value. A magistrate costs more (high value, full employer cost with the CAS). “Net” convention (R9), the same as for the public sector pay index point and public sector headcount: at the centre, cost excluding all employer contributions paid to other general government bodies (CAS Pensions, employer social contributions); at the upper bound, full employer cost. The published “excluding CAS” cost still includes employer contributions other than the CAS: it is brought down to activity pay alone by the “average loaded cost excluding CAS / activity pay” ratio from the 2024 PAP (Enseignement scolaire, entry-exit costs: 47,634 / 41,610 = 1.145 in primary, 51,198 / 44,265 = 1.157 in secondary, about 1.15 on average; editors' calculation). For a commitment expressed as a budget (“double the justice budget”), take the difference in €bn on the basis of €10.63bn excluding CAS. “Mission budget” parameter: cost equal to the difference between the target amount and €10.63bn (2026 appropriations excluding CAS Pensions, Senate). It covers the whole mission (judicial justice, prison administration, PJJ, access to law): it is not added to a costing of prison places or of closed educational centres for the same candidate. It is used for commitments expressed as a total budget, not for recruitment, which is costed by the jobs parameter.
- AN, rapport spécial PLF 2026, Justice, 2025-10: « Hors contribution au CAS Pensions, les dépenses de personnel s'établiraient à 2,3 milliards d'euros ... pour un plafond d'emplois fixé à 39 482,35 ETPT ; Nombre total de magistrats exerçant en juridictions ... 9 007 ; LOPJ à 10 000 équivalents temps plein (ETP) d'ici à 2027, dont 1 500 magistrats et 1 800 greffiers »
- Sénat, rapport général n° 139 (2025-2026), tome III, annexe 17 « Justice » (A. Lefèvre), 2025-11-24: « « En 2026, le projet de loi de finances prévoit que les crédits, hors contribution au compte d'affectation spéciale « Pensions » et à périmètre constant, s'établirait à un niveau de 10 629 millions d'euros, en hausse de 166 millions d'euros en crédits de paiement ou 1,6 % » »
How to read these amounts. These are static costs and revenues, with no feedback effect, over a full year: nothing on growth, employment or the revenue that economic activity would gain or lose. A higher net cost does not on its own make a worse policy, nor net savings a better one: each programme rests on an economic model (demand-led stimulus, lower compulsory levies, consolidation of the public accounts…) that the cost schedule does not settle. GDP itself measures a volume of activity, not well-being or the usefulness of what is produced. Economic models and feedback effects.
This lever in the method · Costing for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
- Debout la France, Notre projet : Justice (livret 2026-06-10). Read the programme page.
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