Agriculture and trade, Bruno Retailleau
Common Agricultural Policy: European CAP, national ceilings guaranteed for seven years
Direction of change: change of another kind, or uncertain direction, compared with current law.
The lever. Position on the European Union's Common Agricultural Policy: budget, distribution of aid, reform or exit. Direction rule: ↑ more aid.
« Veiller à ce que la PAC demeure pleinement européenne et pluriannuelle, avec des enveloppes agricoles dédiées sous forme de plafonds nationaux garantis sur sept ans. »1Translation by the editorsEnsure that the CAP remains fully European and multiannual, with dedicated agricultural envelopes in the form of national ceilings guaranteed over seven years.
Encoding
No cost-schedule parameter for this position: see the costing for the reason.
Costing
Announced by the candidate
not announced
The programme does not cost this measure.
Published costings
none
No external costing of this position recorded to date.
Our calculation
lever that cannot be costed
Lever with no coefficient in the cost schedule: the position is compared, not costed.
Current law, sources and limits of the cost schedule
Current law. The CAP national strategic plan 2023-2027 allocates French agriculture about €9.1bn a year (official document of 2022). Secondary sources give €9.4bn a year, of which €8.7bn for the PSN. The transfer from the first to the second pillar is 7.5%. The post-2027 EU financial framework is under negotiation.
Horizon. Not applicable.
Limits. The PAC (Common Agricultural Policy) is funded by the EU budget. A national position (capping, convergence, greening) redistributes the envelope with no net cost for the national budget. Only national co-financing of the second pillar or a substitute national aid would have a cost. If a candidate proposes to « renationaliser » [“renationalise”] the PAC, the cost would be about €9bn per year of national spending, less the reduction in the French contribution to the EU budget, which is not costed here.
- Ministère de l’Agriculture, « Le plan stratégique national PAC 2023-2027 », septembre 2022 (page 2), 2022-09: « « Le budget annuel de la PAC sur la période 2023-2027 pour l'agriculture française est consolidé avec le maintien de l'enveloppe de 9,1 milliards d'euros par an. » »
- Les cinq priorités du plan stratégique national de la PAC dévoilées (Banque des territoires): « « La France bénéficiera d'une enveloppe annuelle de 9,4 milliards d'euros par an pour la période 2023-2027, dont 8,7 milliards d'euros pour le PSN. » (lu via résultat de recherche) »
How to read these amounts. These are static costs and revenues, with no feedback effect, over a full year: nothing on growth, employment or the revenue that economic activity would gain or lose. A higher net cost does not on its own make a worse policy, nor net savings a better one: each programme rests on an economic model (demand-led stimulus, lower compulsory levies, consolidation of the public accounts…) that the cost schedule does not settle. GDP itself measures a volume of activity, not well-being or the usefulness of what is produced. Economic models and feedback effects.
- avecretailleau.fr, mesure n° 57 « Garantir le budget agricole européen sur sept ans ». Read the programme page.
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