Climate, François Ruffin
Energy renovations per year: One million renovations a year, 600,000 of them major; €15bn a year
Direction of change: increase, compared with current law.
The lever. Number of homes renovated each year to reduce their energy consumption, according to the programme's target. Direction rule: ↑ more subsidised renovations.
« Rénover massivement pour protéger les gens : renforcer et simplifier les aides pour arriver à un million de rénovations par an dont 600 000 d’ampleur afin de réduire au maximum les factures, le froid et le chaud, protéger les travailleurs du BTP et remobiliser les logements vacants dégradés. […] Nous proposons de simplifier cette usine à gaz coûteuse et peu efficace, en transformant les CEE en contribution directe des énergéticiens au budget de l’Agence nationale de l’habitat (Anah). […] L’ensemble des moyens financiers rassemblés seront renforcés (pour atteindre 15 Mds€/an) et mobilisés en priorité pour diffuser les rénovations d’ampleur qui associent isolation et changement du chauffage. »1Translation by the editorsRenovate massively to protect people: strengthen and simplify grants to reach one million renovations a year, including 600,000 major ones, in order to reduce bills, cold and heat as much as possible, protect construction workers and bring degraded vacant homes back into use. […] We propose to simplify this costly and inefficient bureaucratic monster by turning the CEE into a direct contribution from energy companies to the budget of the Agence nationale de l’habitat (Anah). […] All the financial resources pooled will be strengthened (to reach €15bn/year) and used as a priority to spread major renovations combining insulation and a change of heating system.
Encoding
| Parameter | Current law | Programme | Effective date or horizon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Major renovations assisted per year | 91,374 homes | 600,000 homes* (outside the range measured by the source: linear extrapolation) (assumption by the editors, see the costing) | Direct public aid in a full year |
Costing
Announced by the candidate
−€15bn
per year, cost to the public accounts. « L’ensemble des moyens financiers rassemblés seront renforcés (pour atteindre 15 Mds€/an) » [“All the financial resources brought together will be strengthened (to reach €15bn/year)”]: total envelope for housing renovation, including current aid and energy savings certificates, and not its additional cost
Published costings
none
No external costing of this position recorded to date.
Our calculation
−€13bn* (outside the range measured by the source: linear extrapolation)
per year for the public accounts, new spending, range −€18bn to −€6.1bn.
* Outside the range measured by the source: linear extrapolation (measured range: 91,374 homes only).
The calculation
- Major renovations assisted per year: (600,000 − 91,374) ÷ 100,000 = 5.09 times “+100,000 major renovations assisted per year”, each a cost of €2.6bn (1.2 to 3.6). Proposed value outside the range measured by the source: linear extrapolation (measured range: 91,374 homes only). A single year measured by Anah (2024: 91,374 major renovations, average aid per dwelling); any other value is a linear extrapolation, flagged as such.
Assumption by the editors. Partial costing. The amount is the cost of the target of 600,000 major renovations a year once reached, at the current average public aid for a major renovation (€26,100; lower bound: €11,800, average aid in jointly owned buildings), same method as for Marine Tondelier and Fabien Roussel. This is not the announced budget: the envelope of €15bn a year is a total, including current aid and energy savings certificates. Not counted: the direct contribution of energy companies to the Anah budget that would replace these certificates (more than €8bn a year, currently paid by energy suppliers, off budget), new revenue that would finance part of the spending, for lack of a lever in the grid; the other 400,000 renovations a year; the target of 800,000 major renovations in the longer term (booklet « Pour un travaillisme écologique »).
Coefficient calculated by the editors from Chiffres clés de l'Anah 2024 (DREAL Corse): the position is marked as an assumption by the editors.
Figure announced by the candidate: no gap calculated: the announcement covers a different scope or a different year.
Current law, sources and limits of the cost schedule
Current law. The main instrument is MaPrimeRénov' (Anah). It comprises an assisted pathway for major renovations, per-measure aid and aid for co-owned buildings. It is supplemented by energy savings certificates (CEE). In 2024: 91,374 major renovations (€2,386m in aid) and 340,801 dwellings assisted in total (€3.29bn). The scheme was suspended from June to September 2025, then reopened on 23 February 2026 after the LFI 2026. The final amount of 2026 appropriations differs between sources (€3.5bn or €4.3bn in Anah commitments) and has not been checked in the act.
Horizon. Direct public aid in a full year. Anah 2024 scale in current euros. Includes neither the CEE (energy saving certificates), funded by energy suppliers, nor the cost of support services.
Limits. Central value: average aid across all major renovations (€2,386m / 91,374 ≈ €26,100). Lower bound: average aid in jointly owned buildings (€11,818). Upper bound: individual supported pathway (€36,271). In 2024, 59% of households aided for a major renovation were very low-income: a higher target would reach better-off households, with lower unit aid but an uncertain take-up rate. Fraud justified the 2025 suspension. A target announced in “renovated” homes is converted into major renovations before applying this cost schedule. Only the 2024 financial year is published by Anah in the sources read (key figures); 2025 volumes are known only from the press: the parameter's domain is limited to 2024.
- Chiffres clés de l'Anah 2024 (DREAL Corse), 2025: « « En 2024, 340 801 logement rénovés 3,29 Mds€ d'aides. » ; parcours accompagné « Aide moyenne par logement (en €) … 36 271 » ; copropriété « 11 818 » ; « TOTAL RÉNOVATION D'AMPLEUR … 91 374 … 2 386 » (M€) ; par geste « 3 622 » »
- MaPrimeRénov' 2026 : réouverture du guichet (monimmeuble.com, via résultat de recherche), 2026-02: « Le guichet a rouvert le 23 février 2026 après l'adoption du budget ; rendez-vous obligatoire avec un conseiller France Rénov' pour les rénovations d'ampleur. »
How to read these amounts. These are static costs and revenues, with no feedback effect, over a full year: nothing on growth, employment or the revenue that economic activity would gain or lose. A higher net cost does not on its own make a worse policy, nor net savings a better one: each programme rests on an economic model (demand-led stimulus, lower compulsory levies, consolidation of the public accounts…) that the cost schedule does not settle. GDP itself measures a volume of activity, not well-being or the usefulness of what is produced. Economic models and feedback effects.
- nouspresident.fr, cahier « Face à la crise du logement : faire sauter le verrou ». Read the programme page.
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