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Climate, Gabriel Attal

Adaptation to climate change: Emergency air-conditioning plan for schools and the medico-social sector, no amount

Direction of change: increase, compared with current law.

The lever. Public resources to cope with the effects of global warming (heatwaves, droughts, fires, floods, coastal submersion): national adaptation plan, risk prevention fund, civil protection. Excludes emissions reduction. Direction rule: ↑ more public resources for adaptation.

Words reported by Site de campagne, compte rendu du déplacement à Tarbes: Écoles perturbées, inquiétudes pour les aînés, logements transformés en bouilloires : pour lui, le constat impose un plan de climatisation d'urgence, ciblé en priorité sur les établissements scolaires et médico-sociaux. […] « Aujourd’hui, savoir comment rafraîchir nos écoles, nos logements, nos lieux publics va devenir aussi important que de savoir comment les chauffer face au froid. Mais ce plan doit permettre de rafraîchir sans créer des îlots de chaleur en même temps. On ne peut pas régler le problème à l’intérieur tout en le renforçant à l’extérieur. »1

Translation by the editorsDisrupted schools, concerns for the elderly, homes turned into kettles: for him, the situation calls for an emergency air-conditioning plan, targeted first at schools and medico-social facilities. […] “Today, knowing how to cool our schools, our homes and our public spaces is going to become as important as knowing how to heat them against the cold. But this plan must make it possible to cool without creating heat islands at the same time. We cannot solve the problem inside while making it worse outside.”

Words of Gabriel Attal reported by Site de campagne, compte rendu du déplacement à Tarbes, 21 June 2026. Position taken from public statements, not from a written programme.

Encoding

No cost-schedule parameter for this position: see the costing for the reason.

Costing

Announced by the candidate

not announced

The cited source does not cost this measure.

Published costings

none

No external costing of this position recorded to date.

Our calculation

not costed

Plan with no amount or number of establishments: the cost-schedule parameter applies only to an announced amount. Geoenergy, presented with this plan, falls under energy; the campaign website doubles its subsidies (€160m a year) « à enveloppe constante » [“within a constant budget envelope”] (25 June 2026).

Current law, sources and limits of the cost schedule

Current law. Third national climate change adaptation plan (PNACC-3), announced on 10 March 2025, which adopts a reference warming trajectory of +4 °C by 2100. Fonds de prévention des risques naturels majeurs (major natural hazards prevention fund, « fonds Barnier », programme 181): €300m in commitment authorisations and €228.8m in payment appropriations in the LFI 2026; €300m and €238.8m in the PLF 2027. Fonds vert (green fund): €1bn in commitment authorisations and €981.4m in payment appropriations in the PLF 2027, including a dedicated adaptation envelope of €500m in commitment authorisations.

Horizon. Spending in a full year, static: €1 announced = €1 of deficit, compared with current policies.

Limits. Envelope parameter, like public investment or rail: it applies only to an amount announced on top of current resources. A fund announced as a total amount that brings together existing appropriations is counted by the gap with those appropriations, in payment appropriations of the PLF 2027 (Barnier fund €238.8m, Fonds vert €981.4m), the reading in commitment appropriations (€300m and €1bn) being cited in the note. Adaptation spending is scattered (Barnier fund, Fonds vert, civil protection, agriculture, health, local authorities) and has no official total: the Cour des comptes (2024) notes « l'absence de chiffrages exhaustifs et cohérents pour l'ensemble des acteurs publics » [“the absence of exhaustive and consistent costings for all public actors”], and I4CE (2025) identifies €1.7bn explicitly dedicated to adaptation in 2025. Benchmarks, not counted: the National Assembly's flash fact-finding mission on summer 2026 (rapporteur Éric Coquerel) estimates the cost of that summer at about €16bn and puts the public spending needed from summer 2027 at between €10bn and €13.6bn; these are estimates, not coefficients. A plan that funds investment works may overlap a public investment envelope (overlap declared); a plan that strengthens hospitals or care homes (EHPAD) is not also counted on the hospital or old-age levers.

How to read these amounts. These are static costs and revenues, with no feedback effect, over a full year: nothing on growth, employment or the revenue that economic activity would gain or lose. A higher net cost does not on its own make a worse policy, nor net savings a better one: each programme rests on an economic model (demand-led stimulus, lower compulsory levies, consolidation of the public accounts…) that the cost schedule does not settle. GDP itself measures a volume of activity, not well-being or the usefulness of what is produced. Economic models and feedback effects.

This lever in the method · Costing for Gabriel Attal

  1. Site de campagne, compte rendu du déplacement à Tarbes, 21 June 2026. Words of Gabriel Attal reported by this outlet: the text quoted is the article’s, not their exact words. Position taken from public statements, not from a written programme. Read the source (Site de campagne, compte rendu du déplacement à Tarbes).

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